America ek baar phir apne trade weapons ready kar raha hai. Reports ke mutabiq, US China par naye tariffs lagane ka plan bana raha hai kyunki Beijing Russian oil ka sabse bada buyer ban chuka hai.
Kuch din pehle hi Washington ne India par 25% tariff lagaya tha, jiska humne poora analysis yahan share kiya tha.
Kya Hai Issue?
Ukraine war ke baad Russia par Western sanctions lage, lekin China ne sasta crude kharidkar Moscow ki economy ko support kiya. US kehta hai ki yeh imports Russia ki war machine ko majboot banate hain, jo sanctions ka purpose fail kar deta hai.
Biden administration targeted tariffs lagane ka plan kar raha hai — matlab sab par nahi, balki specific products par, jaise India ke case me hua tha.
Bigger Impact
Agar yeh tariffs lag gaye to US–China relations aur kharab ho sakte hain. Pehle hi tech exports aur security issues par tension chal rahi hai, kuch waisa hi jaisa Trump era me hua tha.
Global oil prices bhi upar ja sakte hain, aur manufacturing costs par direct impact ho sakta hai.
Waise hi jaise Brazil ka WTO steel dispute ka decision aaya tha, aise steps se retaliation ka chance hota hai — aur Beijing aggressive jawab dene ke liye jaana jata hai.
Possible Results
- China ka Reply: US ki agricultural ya tech exports par tariff.
- Oil Price Shock: Petrol-diesel mehenga.
- Trade Routes Change: Russian oil ko third countries ke through bypass karna.
Agle kuch hafton me decision expected hai. Yeh global trade equation me ek bada twist laa sakta hai, bilkul waise hi jaise humne recent geopolitical protests me dekha.